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germany-2025-electoral-divergence

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prediction-markets

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germany-2025-electoral-divergence

1.25 MB

4 contributors

History: 27 commits

andrefelipe-afos

Say which of the two surfaces carries the reproduction files

43a5c00 27 days ago

data
polish: move raw pulls to raw/ about 1 month ago
news
Add structured press coverage layer (news/germany-2025-press-coverage.csv): 6 dated headlines from 5 national outlets across the cycle (DE). Sourced via Wikipedia-cited articles. Makes the third axis (market x polls x press) a data layer. about 2 months ago
polls
Polish item 1 (option A): add page-level source_url per poll row (verified Wikipedia opinion-polling page); README note; datapackage/croissant/CHECKSUMS/DATASHEET regenerated (Frictionless). about 1 month ago
raw
Gold-standard polish v1.2.0 (approach A): raw/ vs derived separation, official-result.json (verified), README provenance, validated; datapackage/croissant/CHECKSUMS/DATASHEET regenerated (Frictionless). about 1 month ago
.gitattributes

43 Bytes
AFOS Germany 2025 Electoral Divergence — initial dataset 2 months ago
.gitignore

31 Bytes
AFOS Germany 2025 Electoral Divergence — initial dataset 2 months ago
CHECKSUMS.txt

1.98 kB
Say which of the two surfaces carries the reproduction files 27 days ago
CITATION.cff

1.16 kB
Standardize brand name to AFOS · 2 months ago
DATASHEET.md

3.65 kB
Say which of the two surfaces carries the reproduction files 27 days ago
DATA_DICTIONARY.md

4.2 kB
Add structural-context.csv (World Bank WGI governance + WDI economy & education); document in DATA_DICTIONARY about 2 months ago
LICENSE

1.77 kB
AFOS Germany 2025 Electoral Divergence — initial dataset 2 months ago
LICENSE-APACHE-2.0

10.8 kB
License: dual CC BY 4.0 (data) + Apache 2.0 (code), matching repo + Brazil card 2 months ago
LICENSE-CC-BY-4.0

1.77 kB
License: dual CC BY 4.0 (data) + Apache 2.0 (code), matching repo + Brazil card 2 months ago
README.md

11.7 kB
Add Harvard Dataverse DOI badge 30 days ago
banner.png

129 kB
xet

OG banner: add country flag (SVG) + fix em-dash/× (UTF-8) 2 months ago
build-germany-market-divergence.mjs

3.32 kB
AFOS Germany 2025 Electoral Divergence — initial dataset 2 months ago
croissant.json

17.4 kB
Polish item 1 (option A): add page-level source_url per poll row (verified Wikipedia opinion-polling page); README note; datapackage/croissant/CHECKSUMS/DATASHEET regenerated (Frictionless). about 1 month ago
datapackage.json

6.91 kB
Polish item 1 (option A): add page-level source_url per poll row (verified Wikipedia opinion-polling page); README note; datapackage/croissant/CHECKSUMS/DATASHEET regenerated (Frictionless). about 1 month ago
odds-snapshot.png

129 kB
xet

Add odds trajectory + snapshot charts (market vs polls, total bet volume preserved) 2 months ago
odds-trajectory.png

91.4 kB
xet

Add odds trajectory + snapshot charts (market vs polls, total bet volume preserved) 2 months ago
parse-germany-wiki.mjs

8.47 kB
AFOS Germany 2025 Electoral Divergence — initial dataset 2 months ago