{
  "name": "germany-2025-electoral-divergence",
  "title": "Germany 2025 Electoral Divergence Electoral Divergence Dataset",
  "description": "The CDU/CSU won the 2025 federal election with about 29% of the vote and Friedrich Merz became Chancellor. The telling read is the AfD: the second-most-voted party (about 21%), yet the market gave it only about 3% to win the most seats. Vote share is not winning: in a parliament,",
  "version": "1.1.0",
  "created": "2026-07-17T00:00:00Z",
  "homepage": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/germany-2025-electoral-divergence",
  "keywords": [
    "elections",
    "prediction-markets",
    "opinion-polls",
    "electoral-divergence",
    "open-data"
  ],
  "licenses": [
    {
      "name": "CC-BY-4.0",
      "title": "Creative Commons Attribution 4.0",
      "path": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
    }
  ],
  "contributors": [
    {
      "title": "AFOS Analytics",
      "role": "author",
      "path": "https://afos-analytics.com"
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Opinion polls via Wikipedia aggregation (CC BY-SA), original pollsters credited"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket (on-chain prediction market)"
    },
    {
      "title": "World Bank (WGI, WDI) for structural context"
    }
  ],
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