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scenario_id
string
current_severity
string
heart_rate_trend
string
resp_rate_trend
string
map_trend
string
lactate_trend
string
urine_output_trend
string
oxygen_requirement_trend
string
treatment_response
string
reserve_capacity
string
support_dependency_trend
string
label
int64
train_001
low
stable
stable
stable
stable
stable
stable
improving
high
stable
0
train_002
low
worsening
worsening
stable
rising
worsening
rising
poor
medium
rising
1
train_003
high
improving
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
improving
medium
falling
0
train_004
moderate
worsening
worsening
worsening
rising
worsening
rising
poor
low
rising
1
train_005
high
stable
improving
stable
falling
stable
falling
partial
medium
falling
0
train_006
low
stable
worsening
worsening
rising
worsening
stable
poor
medium
rising
1
train_007
moderate
improving
stable
improving
falling
improving
stable
partial
medium
stable
0
train_008
moderate
worsening
stable
stable
rising
worsening
rising
none
low
rising
1
train_009
high
improving
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
improving
medium
falling
0
train_010
low
stable
stable
stable
rising
worsening
rising
poor
low
rising
1
train_011
moderate
stable
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
partial
medium
falling
0
train_012
high
worsening
stable
worsening
rising
worsening
stable
poor
low
rising
1
train_013
low
improving
stable
stable
falling
stable
stable
partial
high
stable
0
train_014
moderate
worsening
worsening
stable
rising
stable
rising
poor
low
rising
1
train_015
high
stable
stable
improving
falling
improving
falling
improving
medium
falling
0
train_016
low
worsening
stable
stable
rising
worsening
stable
poor
medium
rising
1
train_017
moderate
improving
improving
stable
falling
stable
falling
partial
medium
falling
0
train_018
high
worsening
worsening
worsening
rising
worsening
rising
none
low
rising
1
train_019
low
stable
stable
stable
stable
stable
stable
improving
high
stable
0
train_020
moderate
worsening
worsening
stable
rising
worsening
rising
poor
low
rising
1
train_021
high
improving
stable
stable
falling
improving
falling
partial
medium
falling
0
train_022
low
stable
worsening
stable
rising
worsening
rising
poor
medium
rising
1
train_023
moderate
improving
improving
improving
falling
improving
stable
improving
medium
stable
0
train_024
high
stable
worsening
worsening
rising
worsening
rising
poor
low
rising
1
train_025
low
improving
stable
stable
falling
improving
stable
improving
high
stable
0
train_026
moderate
worsening
stable
worsening
rising
worsening
stable
poor
low
rising
1
train_027
high
stable
improving
stable
falling
stable
falling
partial
medium
falling
0
train_028
low
worsening
worsening
stable
rising
stable
rising
none
medium
rising
1
train_029
moderate
stable
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
partial
medium
falling
0
train_030
high
worsening
worsening
worsening
rising
worsening
rising
none
low
rising
1
train_031
low
stable
stable
stable
falling
stable
stable
improving
high
stable
0
train_032
moderate
worsening
worsening
stable
rising
worsening
rising
poor
medium
rising
1
train_033
high
improving
improving
stable
falling
improving
falling
improving
medium
falling
0
train_034
low
worsening
stable
worsening
rising
worsening
stable
poor
medium
rising
1
train_035
moderate
improving
stable
stable
falling
stable
falling
partial
medium
falling
0
train_036
high
worsening
stable
worsening
rising
worsening
rising
poor
low
rising
1
train_037
low
improving
stable
stable
falling
stable
stable
partial
high
stable
0
train_038
moderate
worsening
worsening
worsening
rising
worsening
rising
none
low
rising
1
train_039
high
improving
improving
improving
falling
improving
falling
improving
medium
falling
0
train_040
low
stable
worsening
stable
rising
worsening
rising
poor
medium
rising
1

What this dataset does

This dataset tests whether a model can distinguish current severity from future direction.

The task is not to identify which patient looks worse now.

The task is to classify whether the patient trajectory is moving toward stability or deterioration.

What changed in v0.2

v0.2 adds counterfactual and adversarial cases.

Some high-severity patients are improving and should be classified as stable or improving.

Some low-severity patients are deteriorating and should be classified as worsening.

v0.2 also adds reserve capacity and support dependency trend.

This makes the task harder than v0.1.

Core stability idea

Current severity is not trajectory.

A patient who looks severe may be moving toward recovery.

A patient who looks mild may be moving toward deterioration.

Correct classification requires reasoning across trend direction, reserve capacity, treatment response, and support dependency.

Prediction target

The label column is binary.

Label 0 means stable or improving trajectory.

Label 1 means deteriorating trajectory.

Row structure

Each row contains:

  • scenario_id
  • current_severity
  • heart_rate_trend
  • resp_rate_trend
  • map_trend
  • lactate_trend
  • urine_output_trend
  • oxygen_requirement_trend
  • treatment_response
  • reserve_capacity
  • support_dependency_trend
  • label

current_severity uses:

  • low
  • moderate
  • high

trend fields use:

  • improving
  • stable
  • worsening
  • rising
  • falling

treatment_response uses:

  • improving
  • partial
  • poor
  • none

reserve_capacity uses:

  • high
  • medium
  • low

support_dependency_trend uses:

  • falling
  • stable
  • rising

Evaluation

Submissions must contain:

scenario_id,prediction
test_001,0
test_002,1
test_003,0

Run:

python scorer.py predictions.csv

Optional truth path:

python scorer.py predictions.csv data/test.csv

The scorer reports:

Accuracy
Precision
Recall
F1
Confusion matrix
Structural Note

This benchmark contains counterfactual and adversarial cases designed to prevent shortcut learning from current severity.

The dataset does not expose the hidden rationale behind each label.

The goal is to evaluate whether models can track direction of movement rather than classify surface severity.

License

MIT
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