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cohort_anchor
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early_signals
stringclasses
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stringclasses
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stringclasses
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basin_shift_confidence_0_100
int64
60
88
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RTT-BS-001
post-appendectomy day0
32M, low comorbidity
D1-D3
Steps=800->900; Pain=7->6; Sleep=5.5->5.8
small_positive
low_volatility
steady_ascent
82
consistent step gain; pain drop
none
Under 160 words.
1 ascent early
RTT-BS-002
post-appendectomy day0
40F, mild anxiety
D1-D3
Steps=600->650; Pain=8->7.8; Sleep=4.5->4.6
near_flat
low_volatility
plateau_then_jump
64
minimal early gains
none
Under 160 words.
1 plateau early
RTT-BS-003
post-influenza day0
28F, athlete
D1-D3
Steps=2000->900; HRV=62->45; Fatigue=4->6
negative_spike
high_volatility
decline_then_rebound
76
early crash; HRV drop
none
Under 160 words.
1 early crash
RTT-BS-004
post-influenza day0
52M, work stress
D1-D3
Steps=2500->5000->1800; Sleep=6.5->4.8
oscillating
high_volatility
oscillatory
80
alternating steps; sleep fragmentation
none
Under 160 words.
1 oscillation
RTT-BS-005
post-knee-arthroscopy day0
61F, obesity
D1-D3
Steps=300->400; Pain=7->7
flat
low_volatility
stalled_decline
71
no mobility gain; pain static
none
Under 160 words.
1 stall
RTT-BS-006
post-knee-arthroscopy day0
35M, low comorbidity
D1-D3
Steps=900->2500; Pain=6->3
large_positive
moderate_volatility
steady_ascent
88
large early mobility gain
none
Under 160 words.
1 ascent
RTT-BS-007
post-appendectomy day0
44F, caregiver stress
D1-D3
Steps=700->800; Sleep=5->4.5; Mood=5->4
mixed_direction
moderate_volatility
stalled_decline
60
sleep and mood drop
none
Under 160 words.
1 psych decline
RTT-BS-008
post-influenza day0
30M, variable adherence
D1-D3
Steps=1500->3000->800
spike_crash
high_volatility
oscillatory
83
overexertion spike then crash
none
Under 160 words.
1 spike crash

What this dataset tests

Whether early recovery signals
predict the later recovery topology.

It focuses on the first days, not weeks.

Early signals include

  • mobility trend
  • sleep fragmentation
  • HRV shifts
  • fatigue volatility
  • mood direction

Outputs

  • predicted recovery topology
  • basin-shift confidence
  • key early signals

Typical failures

  • ignoring early crashes
  • mistaking flat early signals for steady ascent
  • missing volatility that predicts oscillation

Suggested prompt wrapper

System

You detect early basin-shift signals.

User

Early Signals
{early_signals}

Signal Deltas
{signal_deltas}

Volatility Markers
{volatility_markers}

Return

  • predicted topology
  • confidence score
  • one sentence naming the key early signal

Citation

ClarusC64 dataset family

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