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trial_id
string
analysis_id
string
week
int64
information_fraction
float64
alpha_spent
float64
subgroup_effect_size
float64
overall_effect_size
float64
variance_inflation
float64
decision_confidence
float64
continuation_bias_z
float64
wrong_decision_next_30d
int64
label_wrong_decision_next_30d
int64
TRIAL_INT01
A01
8
0.25
0.01
0.42
0.28
1.1
0.62
0.2
0
0
TRIAL_INT01
A02
12
0.35
0.015
0.48
0.26
1.2
0.66
0.4
0
0
TRIAL_INT01
A03
16
0.5
0.02
0.55
0.24
1.35
0.7
0.8
0
0
TRIAL_INT01
A04
20
0.65
0.025
0.6
0.22
1.55
0.74
1.2
1
1
TRIAL_INT01
A05
24
0.75
0.03
0.64
0.2
1.7
0.78
1.5
1
1
TRIAL_INT02
A01
10
0.3
0.012
0.4
0.3
1.08
0.6
0.1
0
0
TRIAL_INT02
A02
14
0.45
0.018
0.46
0.27
1.18
0.64
0.3
0
0
TRIAL_INT02
A03
18
0.6
0.022
0.53
0.25
1.4
0.69
0.9
1
1
TRIAL_INT02
A04
22
0.7
0.027
0.58
0.23
1.6
0.73
1.1
1
1
TRIAL_INT02
A05
26
0.8
0.032
0.62
0.21
1.75
0.77
1.4
1
1

Clinical Quad Interim Alpha Subgroup Decision Bias v0.1

Each row is an interim analysis snapshot.

Core quad

Information fraction
Alpha spending
Subgroup signal
Decision bias

Target

label_wrong_decision_next_30d

Files

data/train.csv
data/tester.csv
scorer.py

Evaluation

Run model on data/tester.csv
Return predictions row aligned
Score with scorer.py

License

MIT

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