EVAL fixes: market-odds range Apr→Jun in README, fix Ipsos 'Péru' typo + normalize runoff pollster labels

README.md

@@ -35,7 +35,7 @@ Maintained by **[AFOS Analytics](https://afos-analytics.com)**. This is part of
 | `polls/peru-first-round-polls.csv` | 327 | First-round voting intention, **long format** (one row per candidate × poll), **all 14 candidates**, 36 polls, Jan→Apr 2026. |
 | `polls/peru-runoff-polls.csv` | 16 | Runoff head-to-head (Fujimori vs Sánchez), Apr→Jun 2026. |
 | `polls/peru-polls.json` | — | Full structured polls (first round + runoff) with methodology. |
-| `data/peru-market-odds-timeseries.csv` | 2,490 | Daily Polymarket win-probability per candidate (16 candidates, Dec 2025→Apr 2026) from the "Peru Presidential Election Winner" market. |
+| `data/peru-market-odds-timeseries.csv` | 2,490 | Daily Polymarket win-probability per candidate (16 candidates, Dec 2025→Jun 2026) from the "Peru Presidential Election Winner" market. |
 | `data/peru-divergence-timeseries.csv` | 324 | **Market × poll divergence** per candidate — each first-round poll joined to the candidate's market odds on its date. |
 | `data/peru-poly-raw.json` | — | Raw Polymarket payload (event + per-candidate price histories), kept for provenance. |
 

polls/peru-polls.json

@@ -2267,7 +2267,7 @@
     {
       "poll_date": "2026-04-24",
       "fieldwork": "23–24 April 2026",
-      "pollster": "Ipsos Perú/Perú21",
+      "pollster": "Ipsos Perú/Perú 21",
       "sample": 1208,
       "results": [
         {
@@ -2307,7 +2307,7 @@
     {
       "poll_date": "2026-05-17",
       "fieldwork": "16–17 May 2026",
-      "pollster": "Ipsos Peru/Péru 21",
+      "pollster": "Ipsos Perú/Perú 21",
       "sample": 1210,
       "results": [
         {
@@ -2447,7 +2447,7 @@
     {
       "poll_date": "2026-05-30",
       "fieldwork": "29–30 May 2026",
-      "pollster": "Ipsos Perú/Perú21",
+      "pollster": "Ipsos Perú/Perú 21",
       "sample": 1204,
       "results": [
         {

polls/peru-runoff-polls.csv

@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
 poll_date,fieldwork,pollster,sample,fujimori_pct,sanchez_pct,lead_pp
-2026-04-24,23–24 April 2026,Ipsos Perú/Perú21,1208,38,38,0
+2026-04-24,23–24 April 2026,Ipsos Perú/Perú 21,1208,38,38,0
 2026-04-25,21–25 April 2026,IEP/La República,1197,31,32,-1
-2026-05-17,16–17 May 2026,Ipsos Peru/Péru 21,1210,39,35,4
+2026-05-17,16–17 May 2026,Ipsos Perú/Perú 21,1210,39,35,4
 2026-05-17,14–17 May 2026,CIT/Expreso,1220,40.5,36,4.5
 2026-05-20,17–20 May 2026,Datum Internacional/América TV,1200,39.5,36.1,3.4
 2026-05-26,23–26 May 2026,Imasolu,1200,39.58,33.08,6.5
 2026-05-26,22–26 May 2026,IEP/La República,1204,36,30,6
 2026-05-28,26–28 May 2026,CPI,1200,32.5,29.1,3.4
 2026-05-29,27–29 May 2026,CIT,1220,41.1,33.4,7.7
-2026-05-30,29–30 May 2026,Ipsos Perú/Perú21,1204,40.4,38.3,2.1
+2026-05-30,29–30 May 2026,Ipsos Perú/Perú 21,1204,40.4,38.3,2.1
 2026-05-30,26–30 May 2026,Datum Internacional/El Comercio,1501,39.7,35.4,4.3
 2026-05-30,25–30 May 2026,CB Global Data,1595,38.6,36.5,2.1
 2026-06-03,3 June 2026,Ipsos Perú,1231,43.2,43.8,-0.6