Gold-standard cheap layer v1.1.0: datapackage.json (Frictionless, validated), croissant.json (MLCommons), CHECKSUMS.txt (SHA-256), DATASHEET.md (Gebru). Additive; data unchanged.

datapackage.json

@@ -0,0 +1,274 @@
+{
+  "name": "germany-2025-electoral-divergence",
+  "title": "Germany 2025 Electoral Divergence Electoral Divergence Dataset",
+  "description": "The CDU/CSU won the 2025 federal election with about 29% of the vote and Friedrich Merz became Chancellor. The telling read is the AfD: the second-most-voted party (about 21%), yet the market gave it only about 3% to win the most seats. Vote share is not winning: in a parliament,",
+  "version": "1.1.0",
+  "created": "2026-07-17T00:00:00Z",
+  "homepage": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/germany-2025-electoral-divergence",
+  "keywords": [
+    "elections",
+    "prediction-markets",
+    "opinion-polls",
+    "electoral-divergence",
+    "open-data"
+  ],
+  "licenses": [
+    {
+      "name": "CC-BY-4.0",
+      "title": "Creative Commons Attribution 4.0",
+      "path": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
+    }
+  ],
+  "contributors": [
+    {
+      "title": "AFOS Analytics",
+      "role": "author",
+      "path": "https://afos-analytics.com"
+    }
+  ],
+  "sources": [
+    {
+      "title": "Opinion polls via Wikipedia aggregation (CC BY-SA), original pollsters credited"
+    },
+    {
+      "title": "Polymarket (on-chain prediction market)"
+    },
+    {
+      "title": "World Bank (WGI, WDI) for structural context"
+    }
+  ],
+  "resources": [
+    {
+      "name": "data-germany-divergence-timeseries",
+      "type": "table",
+      "path": "data/germany-divergence-timeseries.csv",
+      "scheme": "file",
+      "format": "csv",
+      "mediatype": "text/csv",
+      "encoding": "utf-8",
+      "schema": {
+        "fields": [
+          {
+            "name": "poll_date",
+            "type": "date"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "pollster",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "party",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "poll_pct",
+            "type": "number"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "polymarket_pct",
+            "type": "number"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "polymarket_date",
+            "type": "date"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "divergence_pp",
+            "type": "number"
+          }
+        ],
+        "missingValues": [
+          "",
+          "NA",
+          "N/A",
+          "-"
+        ]
+      },
+      "hash": "sha256:847de3201eee54f9ed98c5d576e42718769d8d72b883ba3c1225233b20738535"
+    },
+    {
+      "name": "data-germany-market-odds-timeseries",
+      "type": "table",
+      "path": "data/germany-market-odds-timeseries.csv",
+      "scheme": "file",
+      "format": "csv",
+      "mediatype": "text/csv",
+      "encoding": "utf-8",
+      "schema": {
+        "fields": [
+          {
+            "name": "date",
+            "type": "date"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "party",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "polymarket_pct",
+            "type": "number"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "volume_usd",
+            "type": "integer"
+          }
+        ],
+        "missingValues": [
+          "",
+          "NA",
+          "N/A",
+          "-"
+        ]
+      },
+      "hash": "sha256:fc329ab6c9229c76321c0b34a7275a7f2cb4cb6efb006b77981f42890d239f1d"
+    },
+    {
+      "name": "data-germany-structural-context",
+      "type": "table",
+      "path": "data/germany-structural-context.csv",
+      "scheme": "file",
+      "format": "csv",
+      "mediatype": "text/csv",
+      "encoding": "utf-8",
+      "schema": {
+        "fields": [
+          {
+            "name": "category",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "indicator",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "label",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "value",
+            "type": "number"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "unit",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "year",
+            "type": "integer"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "source",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "iso3",
+            "type": "string"
+          }
+        ],
+        "missingValues": [
+          "",
+          "NA",
+          "N/A",
+          "-"
+        ]
+      },
+      "hash": "sha256:acd4ea4dbaddc5ffb3c254606c754eac3431f65b5bef2ebd89402cdc75772d70"
+    },
+    {
+      "name": "news-germany-2025-press-coverage",
+      "type": "table",
+      "path": "news/germany-2025-press-coverage.csv",
+      "scheme": "file",
+      "format": "csv",
+      "mediatype": "text/csv",
+      "encoding": "utf-8",
+      "schema": {
+        "fields": [
+          {
+            "name": "date",
+            "type": "date"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "phase",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "outlet",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "headline",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "url",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "lang",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "topic",
+            "type": "string"
+          }
+        ],
+        "missingValues": [
+          "",
+          "NA",
+          "N/A",
+          "-"
+        ]
+      },
+      "hash": "sha256:02440b95850906c8f0612b64a3313be7da8802b3c4242c81f9e26d8819d91036"
+    },
+    {
+      "name": "polls-germany-polls",
+      "type": "table",
+      "path": "polls/germany-polls.csv",
+      "scheme": "file",
+      "format": "csv",
+      "mediatype": "text/csv",
+      "encoding": "utf-8",
+      "schema": {
+        "fields": [
+          {
+            "name": "poll_date",
+            "type": "date"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "fieldwork",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "pollster",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "sample",
+            "type": "integer"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "party",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "party_full",
+            "type": "string"
+          },
+          {
+            "name": "percent",
+            "type": "number"
+          }
+        ],
+        "missingValues": [
+          "",
+          "NA",
+          "N/A",
+          "-"
+        ]
+      },
+      "hash": "sha256:af8ea40940831e70b86410e83cf4bb58f26a145f70f0053d72a8d774d1194950"
+    }
+  ]
+}