Upload fast-st-us-housing-v1 model-card.md
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fast-st-us-housing-v1/model-card.md
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# FAST-ST US Housing v1
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U.S.-only typed model for monthly ZORI rent and native-cadence ACS annual panels.
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Parameters: 18,799,208
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## Metrics
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```json
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{
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"annual_joint_nll_per_target": 7.626382,
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"annual_panel": {
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"acs_median_gross_rent_usd": {
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"improvement_vs_persistence_pct": 72.602,
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"interval_80_coverage": 1.0,
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"mae": 22.882937,
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"persistence_mae": 83.520833
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},
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"civilian_labor_force": {
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"improvement_vs_persistence_pct": -9.028,
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"interval_80_coverage": 1.0,
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"mae": 35822.192708,
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"persistence_mae": 32855.916667
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},
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"median_home_value_usd": {
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"improvement_vs_persistence_pct": 68.166,
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"interval_80_coverage": 0.979167,
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"mae": 10585.49349,
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"persistence_mae": 33252.083333
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},
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"median_household_income_usd": {
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"improvement_vs_persistence_pct": 70.69,
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"interval_80_coverage": 1.0,
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"mae": 970.27002,
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"persistence_mae": 3310.333333
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},
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"population": {
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"improvement_vs_persistence_pct": 15.994,
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"interval_80_coverage": 1.0,
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"mae": 48117.958333,
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"persistence_mae": 57279.4375
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},
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"rent_to_income_percent": {
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"improvement_vs_persistence_pct": -14.423,
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"interval_80_coverage": 0.916667,
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"mae": 0.441006,
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"persistence_mae": 0.385417
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},
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"unemployed": {
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"improvement_vs_persistence_pct": -3.141,
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"interval_80_coverage": 1.0,
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"mae": 4331.383789,
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"persistence_mae": 4199.479167
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},
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"unemployment_rate_percent": {
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"improvement_vs_persistence_pct": 0.967,
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"interval_80_coverage": 1.0,
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"mae": 0.116927,
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"persistence_mae": 0.118069
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}
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},
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"monthly_rent": {
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"improvement_vs_seasonal_naive_pct": 37.763,
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"interval_80_coverage": 0.756944,
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"mae": 27.105337,
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"seasonal_naive_mae": 43.552052,
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"spatial_adapter_improvement_pct": 13.419,
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"temporal_only_mae": 31.306406
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}
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}
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```
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## Gates
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```json
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{
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"finite_annual_joint_nll": true,
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"income_beats_persistence": true,
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"native_annual_cadence_preserved": true,
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"rent_beats_seasonal_naive": true,
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"rent_coverage_calibrated": true,
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"us_only_manifest": true
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}
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```
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