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  license: apache-2.0
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  license: apache-2.0
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+ tags:
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+ - magic-the-gathering
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+ - draft
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+ - model-evaluation
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+ - reproducibility
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+ - predictions
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  ---
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+
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+ # DraftFM frozen_eval: the per-pick prediction archive
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+
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+ Every prediction behind the tables in the DraftFM paper, archived so the
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+ results can be recomputed (no GPU needed) and audited pick by pick.
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+
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+ - **Model:** [brianward92/draftfm](https://huggingface.co/brianward92/draftfm)
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+ - **Code and paper:** https://github.com/brianward92/mtga
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+
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+ Each top-level directory is named by the sha256 of the frozen data snapshot
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+ it was evaluated against — the directory name itself is the registration.
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+ Inside are per-pick prediction parquets for every model in the battery
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+ (scaling rungs `s1`–`s16`, `f-dev`, `f-full`, ablations, and baselines),
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+ in both `human` and `deployment` scoring modes, plus derived accuracy
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+ curves and a `summary.json` recording the evaluation context and gates.
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+
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+ ## Directories
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+
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+ | Directory | What it is |
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+ |---|---|
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+ | `013df16b…183a` | **The headline MSH pass**: single pre-registered zero-shot evaluation over the first public MSH snapshot (PremierDraft, protocol v1.1, executed 2026-07-07). Source of the 57.0% top-1 result |
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+ | `013df16b…183a_postday1` | Post-day-one MSH ceiling: per-set model fine-tuned on MSH after the zero-shot pass, as pre-registered in the protocol (2026-07-09) |
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+ | `df6220d8…853` | Full-battery end-to-end rehearsal on SOS PremierDraft (protocol v1, 2026-07-05), run before the real MSH pass to burn in the pipeline |
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+ | `6552b298…34e` | Earlier SOS TradDraft rehearsal with baselines (protocol v1, 2026-07-04) |
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+ | `validation/` | Per-set validation parquets (e.g. SOS) used for sanity gates |
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+
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+ The rehearsals are included deliberately: the protocol's credibility comes
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+ from showing the pipeline was exercised and frozen *before* the one-shot
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+ MSH evaluation, not tuned after it.
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+
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+ ## Using it
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+
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+ Each `<model>.<mode>.parquet` holds one row per pick with the model's
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+ probability over the pack and the chosen card; `summary.json` in each
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+ directory records the snapshot sha256, S3 ETag, protocol tag, execution
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+ timestamp, and data-quality gates. To recompute a table, aggregate the
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+ parquets; to audit a claim, join any pick back to its prediction. The
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+ battery definition lives in the model repo's `frozen_battery.json`; the
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+ chronology is in the code repo's `docs/eval_protocol.md`.
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+
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+ ## Provenance and licensing
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+
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+ These files are model outputs and derived aggregates generated by the
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+ DraftFM pipeline (Apache-2.0). The underlying human draft data is the
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+ 17Lands public dataset (CC BY 4.0 — "Data from 17Lands.com"); raw
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+ 17Lands rows are not redistributed here. Unofficial Fan Content per the
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+ Wizards of the Coast Fan Content Policy; not approved or endorsed by
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+ Wizards.
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+
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+ ## Contact
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+
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+ Brian Ward — brian.ward.92@gmail.com