daily mirror — 30/07/2026

data/divergence-2026-07-30.csv

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
-2026-07-30,Lula,62.5,41,21.5
+2026-07-30,Lula,63.5,41,22.5
 2026-07-30,Flávio Bolsonaro,23.95,35,-11.05
-2026-07-30,Renan Santos,8.6,4,4.6
-2026-07-30,Ronaldo Caiado,2.35,5,-2.65
+2026-07-30,Renan Santos,8.45,4,4.45
+2026-07-30,Ronaldo Caiado,2.55,5,-2.45
 2026-07-30,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
-2026-07-30,Romeu Zema,0.75,3,-2.25
-2026-07-30,Fernando Haddad,0.25,0,0.25
+2026-07-30,Romeu Zema,0.55,3,-2.45
+2026-07-30,Fernando Haddad,0.15,0,0.15

polls/polls-data-2026-07-30.json

@@ -1085,7 +1085,7 @@
         "odds": 63.5,
         "percentage": 41,
         "lastUpdate": "2026-07-30",
-        "value": 62.5
+        "value": 63.5
       },
       {
         "name": "Flávio Bolsonaro",
@@ -1107,7 +1107,7 @@
         "odds": 8.45,
         "percentage": 4,
         "lastUpdate": "2026-07-30",
-        "value": 8.6
+        "value": 8.45
       },
       {
         "name": "Ronaldo Caiado",
@@ -1118,7 +1118,7 @@
         "odds": 2.55,
         "percentage": 5,
         "lastUpdate": "2026-07-30",
-        "value": 2.35
+        "value": 2.55
       },
       {
         "name": "Tarcísio",
@@ -1140,7 +1140,7 @@
         "odds": 0.55,
         "percentage": 3,
         "lastUpdate": "2026-07-30",
-        "value": 0.75
+        "value": 0.55
       },
       {
         "name": "Fernando Haddad",
@@ -1151,7 +1151,7 @@
         "odds": 0.15,
         "percentage": 0,
         "lastUpdate": "2026-07-30",
-        "value": 0.25
+        "value": 0.15
       }
     ],
     "updatedAt": "30/07/2026, 17:08"